| 17 November 2022 |
Embargoed for release until 7.00 am on 17 November 2022.
Close Brothers Group plc (“the group” or “Close Brothers”) today issues its scheduled trading update relating to the first quarter of its 2023 financial year from 1 August 2022 to 31 October 2022.
Adrian Sainsbury, Chief Executive Officer
“We have delivered a solid start to the financial year, despite the backdrop of heightened market uncertainty. Our margin remained strong in the Banking division, we increased net inflows in CBAM and while trading activity remained subdued in Winterflood, we grew our assets under administration in Winterflood Business Services.
Although the current environment presents challenges, there will also be opportunities and we are confident that we will be able to make the most of these, building on our strong relationships and the consistent application of our model.”
Group and divisional performance
The group delivered a solid performance in the quarter, achieving a strong margin in the Banking division and increased net inflows in Close Brothers Asset Management (“CBAM”). Winterflood continued to be impacted by reduced trading activity.
Our Common Equity Tier 1 (“CET1”) ratio was 14.6% at 31 October 2022 (31 July 2022: 14.6%), significantly above the applicable minimum regulatory requirement1.
In Banking , we continue to focus on delivering disciplined growth whilst prioritising our margins and credit quality, with loan book growth remaining an output of our business model. The loan book grew marginally in the quarter to £9.13 billion (31 July 2022: £9.10 billion)2. This reflected continued demand in the Commercial businesses, although new business volumes in Motor Finance moderated. Our Property loan book was stable in the period as early redemptions were balanced by drawdowns from our strong pipeline.
The annualised year-to-date net interest margin remained strong, as we continued to focus on our pricing discipline in the higher interest rate environment.
The year-to-date bad debt ratio remained stable at 1.2% (1.0% excluding Novitas) and included the recognition of further IFRS 9 provisions to take into account worsening macroeconomic variables and outlook since the 2022 financial year-end3 (FY 2022: 1.2%, 0.5% excluding Novitas). Whilst we are not yet seeing a significant impact from the external environment on experienced credit performance, we remain alert to the impact of rising inflation and interest rates and their effect on our customers.
Despite the challenging market conditions, CBAM has continued to attract client assets and delivered year-to-date annualised net inflows of 7% (FY 2022: 5%). In the period, managed assets decreased to £14.8 billion (31 July 2022: £15.3 billion) and total client assets decreased to £16.1 billion (31 July 2022: £16.6 billion), reflecting negative market movements. In line with our commitment to actively contribute towards the UK government’s net zero climate goals, CBAM is now a signatory of the Net Zero Asset Managers initiative.
Winterflood’s performance continued to be impacted by the market-wide slowdown in trading activity. Winterflood Business Services (“WBS”) were pleased to onboard Fidelity International as a new client, completing the migration of their custody assets. Total assets under administration now exceed £10 billion and we see significant further growth potential in this business, with a continued solid pipeline of clients.
Outlook
We have made a solid start to the year and are well positioned to navigate successfully this challenging period. Our proven and resilient model, strong financial position and deep expertise enable us to continue supporting our customers and clients, whilst delivering on our long track record of profitability and disciplined growth.
Footnotes
1 The group’s capital ratios are presented on a transitional basis after the application of IFRS 9 transitional arrangements which allows banks to add back to their capital base a proportion of the IFRS 9 impairment charges during the transitional period. Without their application, the CET1 capital ratio would be 14.0%. The applicable minimum regulatory requirement, excluding any applicable PRA buffer, was 7.6% at 31 October 2022.
2 The loan book is presented including operating lease assets.
3 At 31 October 2022, there was a 32.5% weighting to the baseline scenario, 30.0% to the upside and 37.5% to the downside scenarios (unchanged from 31 July 2022). Moody’s October unemployment forecast for Q4 2022 under the baseline scenario is 3.9%, 3.6% under the upside scenario and ranges between 4.1% and 4.4% in the downside scenarios. For 2023, Moody’s unemployment forecast is 4.1% under the baseline scenario, 3.6% under the upside scenario and ranges between 4.5% and 6.6% in the downside scenarios. Moody’s October inflation forecast for Q4 2022 under the baseline scenario is 10.9%, 10.4% for the upside scenario and ranges between 11.5% and 13.8% in the downside scenarios. For 2023, Moody’s inflation forecast is 7.0% under the baseline scenario, 6.8% for the upside scenario and ranges from 7.1% to 10.1% in the downside scenarios. Moody’s October forecast for the Bank of England base rate for Q4 2022 is 2.9% in the baseline scenario, also 2.9% in the upside scenario and ranges from 3.1% to 3.9% in the downside scenarios. For 2023, Moody’s Bank of England base rate forecast is 4.4% under the baseline scenario, 4.2% for the upside scenario and ranges between 4.2% and 5.3% in the downside scenarios.
Enquiries
Sophie Gillingham Close Brothers Group plc 020 3857 6574
Camila Sugimura Close Brothers Group plc 020 3857 6577
Kimberley Taylor Close Brothers Group plc 020 3857 6233
Irene Galvan Close Brothers Group plc 020 3857 6217
Sam Cartwright Maitland 07827 254561