London Stock Exchange Group plc Q3 2023 Trading Update

London Stock Exchange Group plc: Q3 2023 Trading Update

Continued delivery of our transformation

David Schwimmer, CEO said:

“LSEG delivered another quarter of strong, broad-based growth. By building compelling solutions that meet customers’ evolving business needs we have established a consistent track-record of growth in our Data & Analytics business. Our Capital Markets revenues accelerated in the third quarter, with ongoing innovation increasing Tradeweb’s share of global credit trading. Our Post Trade businesses also continue to grow strongly as customers look to our risk management services in an uncertain macro environment. We are confident that growth for the full year will be towards the upper end of the +6-8% guidance range.”

Q3 2023 highlights
(All growth rates on a constant currency basis unless otherwise stated)
·     Total income (excl. recoveries) +8.0%; on-track to deliver full year growth towards the upper end of the +6-8% guidance range
·     Broad strength with Data & Analytics +7.2%, Capital Markets +6.2%, Post Trade +17.0%
·     Organic Annual Subscription Value (“ASV”) growth +7.1%
·     All 2023 guidance reiterated incl. EBITDA margin and capex
·     £750m directed buyback completed in Q3; £1.5bn returned to shareholders since August 2022 

This release contains revenues, cost of sales and key performance indicators (KPIs) for the three months ended 30 September 2023 (Q3). Certain columns and rows may not add due to the use of rounded numbers for disclosure purposes. To reflect underlying performance, all constant currency variances compare the current and prior period at consistent exchange rates. Organic variance is calculated on a constant currency basis, adjusting the results to remove disposals from the entirety of the current and prior year periods, and including acquisitions from the date of acquisition with a comparable adjustment to the prior year.

Q3 2023 summary

       
Continuing operationsQ3 2023
£m
Q3 2022
£m
Variance
%
Constant Currency Variance
%
OrganicVariance%
  
Trading & Banking404 417 (3.1%)2.2% 2.3% 
Enterprise Data345 332 3.9% 9.0% 9.0% 
Investment Solutions357 344 3.8% 9.5% 9.5% 
Wealth69 71 (2.8%)2.6% 2.6% 
Customer & Third-Party Risk123 110 11.8% 16.3% 16.3% 
Data & Analytics1,298 1,274 1.9%  7.2% 7.2% 
  
Equities55 60 (8.3%)(8.6%)(8.6%)
FX61 68 (10.3%)(3.3%)(3.3%)
Fixed Income, Derivatives & Other259 241 7.5% 12.7% 12.3% 
Capital Markets375 369 1.6%  6.2% 6.0% 
  
OTC Derivatives125 103 21.4% 25.9% 7.3% 
Securities & Reporting64 55 16.4% 13.7% 13.7% 
Non-Cash Collateral27 25 8.0% 8.6% 8.6% 
Net Treasury Income70 66 6.1% 9.1% 9.1% 
Post Trade286 249 14.9%  17.0% 9.2% 
  
Other713 (46.2%)(42.0%)(42.0%)
Total Income (excl. recoveries)1,966 1,905 3.2%  8.0% 7.0% 
Recoveries88 80 10.0% (1.3%)(1.3%)
Total Income (incl. recoveries)2,054 1,985 3.5%  7.6% 6.6% 
Cost of sales(282)(289)  (2.4%)3.8% 2.7% 
Gross Profit1,772 1,696 4.5%  8.2% 7.3% 

Total income (excluding recoveries) was up 8.0% year-on-year in Q3, and 7.0% on an organic basis.

·    Data & Analytics was up 7.2% with improving sales, rising retention and this year’s higher annual price increase all contributing to growth. Organic ASV growth remains broadly around the level seen in Q1 and Q2, ending September 2023 at +7.1%. We continue to make very good progress building new products with Microsoft and are on target to launch with customers in the second half of 2024.

o  Trading & Banking was up 2.2% with growth in both Trading and Banking revenue. Q3 revenue excludes NEST, an Indian broking solution that recorded revenue of £11m in 2022, which we sold effective 30 June 2023. Organic growth of 2.3% in the quarter is consistent with the growth delivered in the first half. Customers continue to benefit from the rollout of new functionalities and greater workflow integration, continuing into Q4 with the anticipated connection of Workspace and our leading dealer-to-client FX platform, FXall.

o  Enterprise Data was up 9.0%. Demand for our leading Real-Time data services remains strong, with particularly good growth in our cloud-based services and tick-history data. The breadth and quality of data in Pricing and Reference Services (PRS) continues to differentiate our offering and helped drive growth in Q3.

o  Investment Solutions was up 9.5%, accelerating from H1 2023. Asset-based revenue returned to positive growth (+8.3%) driven by inflows and more favourable year-on-year market levels. Subscription revenue in Benchmark Rates, Indices & Analytics also grew strongly (+11.4%) driven by demand for flagship equity products.

o  Wealth was up 2.6%, as good growth in data feeds offset lower growth in the workflow business.

o  Customer & Third-Party Risk was up 16.3%. World-Check, our risk intelligence screening business, continued to show excellent business momentum driven by customer demand and the benefits of cloud migration.

·    Capital Markets was up 6.2%, driven by growth at Tradeweb.

o  Equities was down 8.6%, reflecting subdued market volumes in both primary and secondary markets.

o  FX was down 3.3% reflecting lacklustre industry volumes which particularly impacted our dealer-to-client platform, FXall. Activity in interbank markets was more robust and our FX Matching spot platform continued to see positive volume growth. Our Singapore-based NDF trading platform is expected to commence trading in Q4.

o  Fixed Income, Derivatives & Other was up 12.7% with Tradeweb performing strongly across rates, credit, and money markets. Volumes accelerated in Q3, partially offset by a skew in activity towards lower-fee short-duration instruments. Tradeweb’s share in both investment grade and high yield credit rose to all-time highs in Q3, reflecting strong client adoption of new trading protocols, including AllTrade and portfolio trading. 

·    Post Trade was up 17.0%, and 9.2% on an organic basis. OTC Derivative revenues rose 7.3% organically as activity in SwapClear continued to be supported by market volatility. Net Treasury Income was up 9.1% as a higher margin offset lower cash collateral balances. Cash collateral continued to moderate towards the quarter end, following a prolonged period of very heightened levels.

·    Group cost of sales was up 3.8%, below the growth rate in revenue reflecting the partially fixed nature of the costs.

Capital allocation

In September we completed the acquisition of 9.5 million limited voting ordinary shares at £78.94 per share from the Blackstone-led consortium, utilising the shareholder approval granted at our AGM in April 2023. This takes cumulative share repurchases (both directed and non-directed) since August 2022 to £1.5 billion.

In September, we successfully returned to the debt capital markets, issuing €1.4bn of 3-year and 7-year bonds, with proceeds used to repay the remaining term loan entered into as part of the Refinitiv acquisition in 2021. The net effect is to extend the average maturity of our financing.

Capital Markets Event

We are hosting a Capital Markets event in London on 16 (afternoon/evening) and 17 November 2023. The plenary sessions will be webcast live and further information can be found at:

https://www.lseg.com/en/investor-relations/capital-markets-days-2023

Registration for in-person attendance for the event is now closed.

Q3 investor and analyst conference call:

LSEG will host a conference call for its Q3 Trading Update for analysts and investors today at 10am (UK time). On the call will be David Schwimmer (Chief Executive Officer) and Anna Manz (Chief Financial Officer).

To access the webcast or telephone conference call please register in advance using the following link:

https://www.lsegissuerservices.com/spark/LondonStockExchangeGroup/events/7d4cf53e-a034-4304-bb72-9153e9b6d144

To ask a question live you will need to register for the telephone conference call here:

https://services.choruscall.za.com/DiamondPassRegistration/register?confirmationNumber=5746494&linkSecurityString=efc32d880

Contacts: London Stock Exchange Group plc

 Investors   
Peregrine Riviere / Chris Turner – Investor Relationsir@lseg.com 
Media
Lucie Holloway / Rhiannon Davies – External Communications+44 (0) 20 7797 1222newsroom@lseg.com

Additional information can be found at www.lseg.com.

Data & Analytics business line revenue

 Q3 2023
£m
Q3 2022
£m
Variance
%
Constant Currency Variance
%
 Organic Variance%
     
Trading & Banking404417(3.1%) 2.2% 2.3% 
    Trading319330(3.3%)1.7% 1.8% 
    Banking8587(2.3%)4.1% 4.1% 
Enterprise Data3453323.9% 9.0% 9.0% 
    Real-Time Data2182122.8% 7.9% 7.9% 
    PRS1271205.8% 11.0% 11.0% 
Investment Solutions3573443.8%  9.5% 9.5% 
    Benchmark Rates, Indices & Analytics1711616.2% 11.4% 11.4% 
    Index – Asset-Based73738.3% 8.3% 
    Data & Workflow1131102.7% 7.6% 7.6% 
Wealth6971(2.8%)2.6% 2.6% 
Customer & Third-Party Risk12311011.8% 16.3% 16.3% 
Total Revenue (excl. recoveries)1,2981,2741.9%  7.2% 7.2% 
Recoveries888010.0% (1.3%)(1.3%)
Total Revenue (incl. recoveries)1,3861,3542.4%  6.6% 6.6% 

Divisional non-financial KPIs

1.   Data & Analytics

 Q3 2023Q3 2022Variance%
  
Annual Subscription Value growth (%) 17.1%4.4%
Subscription revenue growth (%) 1, 26.8%4.5%
Index – ETF AUM ($bn):
–       Period end1,09989622.7%
–       Average1,13497716.1%
Index – ESG Passive AUM ($bn) 3,42812617.7%

1 Organic, constant currency variance

2 12-month rolling constant currency variance

3 ESG Passive AUM is at 31 December 2022 and prior period comparator is at 31 December 2021. The metric is updated bi-annually

4 2023 revised from the previously published figure of $311bn

2. Capital Markets

 Q3 2023Q3 2022Variance
%
Equities 
Secondary Markets – Equities 
UK Value Traded (£bn) – Average Daily Value3.34.1(19.5%)
SETS Yield (bps)0.730.679.0% 
 
FX 
Average daily total volume ($bn)433442(2.0%)
Fixed income, Derivatives and Other
Tradeweb average daily value ($m)
Rates – Cash361,432324,15311.5% 
Rates – Derivatives491,883328,63649.7% 
Credit – Cash12,9819,27540.0% 
Credit – Derivatives16,95520,020(15.3%)

3.   Post Trade

 Q3 2023Q3 2022Variance
%
OTC
SwapClear
IRS notional cleared ($trn)31524926.5% 
Client trades (‘000)77969611.9% 
ForexClear
Notional cleared ($bn)7,2076,24315.4% 
ForexClear members38365.6% 
Securities & Reporting
EquityClear trades (m)331486(31.9%)
Listed derivatives contracts (m)54.257.0(4.9%)
RepoClear – nominal value (€trn)78.175.83.0% 
Non-Cash Collateral
Average non-cash collateral (€bn)180.1165.58.8% 
Net Treasury Income
Average cash collateral (€bn)124.2151.0(17.7%)

FX conversion

The majority of LSEG revenue and expenses are in USD, followed by GBP, EUR and other currencies. The rates for the largest two currency pairs are shown in the table below.

Average rate
3 months ended
30 September 2023
Closing rate at
30 September 2023
Average rate
3 months ended
30 September 2022
Closing rate at
30 September 2022
GBP : USD1.2661.2211.1781.103
GBP : EUR1.1631.1531.1681.130

For definitions of technical terms – refer to the Glossary contained in the 2022 Annual Report, page 246.

Q3 YTD 2023 summary

       
Continuing operations9m 2023
£m
9m 2022
£m
Variance
%
Constant Currency Variance
%
OrganicVariance%
 
Trading & Banking1,241 1,187 4.5% 3.9% 2.5% 
Enterprise Data11,049 952 10.2% 9.6% 9.0% 
Investment Solutions11,057 981 7.7% 7.2% 7.2% 
Wealth213 202 5.4% 4.7% 4.7% 
Customer & Third-Party Risk364 306 19.0% 17.4% 14.4% 
Data & Analytics3,924 3,628 8.2%  7.5% 6.6% 
  
Equities171 190 (10.0%)(10.2%)(10.2%)
FX189 191 (1.0%)(2.3%)(2.3%)
Fixed Income, Derivatives & Other774 708 9.3% 8.0% 7.9% 
Capital Markets1,134 1,089 4.1%  3.1% 3.0% 
  
OTC Derivatives385 294 31.0% 30.5% 16.2% 
Securities & Reporting191 177 7.9% 5.5% 5.5% 
Non-Cash Collateral80 74 8.1% 8.1% 8.1% 
Net Treasury Income220 187 17.6% 15.9% 15.9% 
Post Trade876 732 19.7%  18.5% 12.9% 
  
Other22 25 (12.0%)(12.1%)(12.1%)
Total Income (excl. recoveries)5,956 5,474 8.8%  8.0% 6.7% 
Recoveries2277 246 12.6% 2.5% 2.5% 
Total Income (incl. recoveries)6,233 5,720 9.0%  7.7% 6.5% 
Cost of sales(854)(793)7.7% 7.3% 5.7% 
Gross Profit5,379 4,927 9.2%  7.8% 6.6% 

1 To better align with our internal reporting, some small revenue items have been reallocated between business lines across 2022 from Real Time Data and Data & Workflow into Benchmark Rates, Indices & Analytics.

2 From 2023 onwards, FX-related items, related to embedded derivatives, previously included in recoveries, have been recognised within the appropriate Data & Analytics revenue lines, primarily Trading & Banking and Enterprise Data Solutions. In 2022 this embedded derivatives impact reduced recoveries by £43m and was heavily weighted towards H2.

Total income and gross profit by quarter

 2022 2023
£mQ1Q2Q3Q42022 Q1Q2Q3
         
Trading & Banking378 391 417 426 1,612 425 412 404 
    Trading298 308 330 339 1,275 336 325 319 
    Banking80 83 87 87 337 89 87 85 
Enterprise Data1303 317 332 354 1,306 347 357 345 
    Real-Time Data1194 202 212 229 837 221 225 218 
    PRS109 115 120 125 469 126 132 127 
Investment Solutions1309 328 344 345 1,326 350 350 357 
    Benchmark Rates, Indices & Analytics1140 151 161 168 620 171 167 171 
    Index – Asset-Based70 71 73 66 280 66 71 73 
Data & Workflow199 106 110 111 426 113 112 113 
Wealth63 68 71 73 275 73 71 69 
Customer & Third-Party Risk94 102 110 119 425 120 121 123 
Data & Analytics1,147 1,207 1,274 1,316 4,944 1,315 1,311 1,298 
  
Equities67 62 60 59 248 59 57 55 
FX60 63 68 67 258 66 62 61 
Fixed Income, Derivatives & Other232 235 241 245 953 269 246 259 
Capital Markets359 361 369 370 1,459 394 365 375 
  
OTC Derivatives93 98 103 108 402 126 134 125 
Securities & Reporting64 58 55 57 234 64 63 64 
Non-Cash Collateral24 25 25 26 100 26 27 27 
Net Treasury Income57 64 66 68 255 73 77 70 
Post Trade238 245 249 259 991 289 301 286 
  
Other13 34 7 
Total Income (excl. recoveries)1,751 1,818 1,905 1,954 7,428 2,007 1,983 1,966 
Recoveries280 86 80 69 315 93 96 88 
Total Income (incl. recoveries)1,831 1,904 1,985 2,023 7,743 2,100 2,079 2,054 
Cost of sales(240)(264)(289)(271)(1,064)(288)  (284)(282)
Gross Profit1,591 1,640 1,696 1,752 6,679 1,812 1,795 1,772 

1 To better align with our internal reporting, some small revenue items have been reallocated between business lines across 2022 from Real Time Data and Data & Workflow into Benchmark Rates, Indices & Analytics.

2 From 2023 onwards, FX-related items, related to embedded derivatives, previously included in recoveries, have been recognised within the appropriate Data & Analytics revenue lines, primarily Trading & Banking and Enterprise Data Solutions. In 2022 this embedded derivatives impact reduced recoveries by £43m and was heavily weighted towards H2.

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