Chairman’s Statement
Dear Shareholder
The Merchants Trust was established in 1889, so in 2024 we mark the one hundred and thirty fifth anniversary. We are all proud to be involved with a company that has not just endured for such a long time, but remains relevant to shareholders today. Merchants is one of the oldest listed investment trusts. Our name, as with some of our eldest peers, hints at our history and origins and Merchants was originally incorporated to invest in railroad assets in the burgeoning North American market. One of the most important factors in Merchants success over such an extended period of time has been its adaptability and its continued focus on the needs of investors and an ability to navigate investment markets to continue to deliver attractive investment returns.
Merchants shareholders have witnessed both World Wars, many smaller scale conflicts, and significant geopolitical and economic shifts in the world. During the past 42 years, including the proposal this year, I am proud to report that the company has managed to provide a rising dividend every year.
Whilst investing is never ‘easy’, the financial year to the end of January 2024 was especially challenging. Some days heralded recovery and others felt like economies and markets were falling badly backwards. The newsworthy events of 2023 could justify an article in their own right and included (overseas) bank failures, equal measures of utopian and dystopian views of a future shaped by AI, war & conflict (sadly now more than one major ongoing conflict) and natural disasters. Geopolitics often felt ‘on the brink’, but we seem at least to have stayed just the right side of the line for now, to avoid wider global involvement. Some events affect markets more than others and Merchants’ lead portfolio manager, Simon Gergel, reflects on the noteworthy events from a financial markets perspective in his Portfolio Manager’s Report starting on page 18 of the Annual Report.
The market backdrop was generally one of concern over inflation and how central banks would use interest rates to control it, but at the same time maintain growth. Bond markets reflected the volatility of investor’s expectations and risk appetite oscillated during the year. In turn this drove equity market fluctuation. For global investors the year was positive, though those gains were generally narrow and led by a small number of US tech stocks, particularly on the back of ‘AI fever’ triggered by the launch of Chat GPT’s GPT-4 model in March. A new narrative for future economic development was born at that point, and markets followed it with eagerness.
The UK market was not buoyed in the same way by Tech and AI stocks. Its returns were more muted and produced only a modest positive total return. This positive total return was a great example of how dividends can make a difference. The FTSE All-Share started the period at 4,255.7 and ended at 4,173.1 – a fall of 1.9%. Total return however, including dividends of 3.8%, produced a positive total return of 1.9%.
Performance
Even though the UK market finished the period marginally up on a total return basis as noted above, Merchants’ Net Asset Value total return for the year unfortunately lagged the benchmark, recording a fall of 3.1%. This is obviously very disappointing and the board has engaged with the portfolio manager and the AllianzGI team to understand the contributions, both positive and negative, to this result. Whilst we clearly need to monitor short term performance, this disappointing result comes after two very good years when the portfolio outperformed the benchmark and we recognise that the longer term (3 and 5 year) track record of the trust is extremely strong.
Shareholders will be aware that the UK stock market is still a mix of both lowly priced stocks some of which offer ‘value’ and higher rated ‘growth’ stocks. Unfortunately, the period under review was a difficult one for the more modestly priced stocks that our manager tends to favour due to his ‘value’ investment style. Whilst this produced a relatively disappointing 1-year picture for Merchants shareholders, the longer-term record remains strong, with outperformance of both the industry benchmark, as well as the sector peer average, over 3 and 5 years.
For a value-oriented investor, a run of poor relative performance can often reflect simple under-pricing of particular types of companies, or certain cyclical sectors. With any disciplined, active management investment approach, there will always be periods when it is difficult to outperform the benchmark if the strongest performance comes from the areas of the market that do not meet the portfolio manager’s investment criteria. It should also be remembered that a period such as the year to January 2024 can often be a time when the best new ideas for investing are generated, often ahead of any improvement in sentiment or cyclical upturn.
Despite short-term headwinds, we were delighted to collect the Citywire award for Best UK Equity Income trust at their annual investment trust awards in November. The award is based around 3-year performance as well as other factors, and is therefore a welcome recognition of the returns to shareholders over the long term.
The board remains confident that the tried and tested investment strategy followed by the manager remains appropriate to meet Merchants’ objectives for shareholders over the long term.
Income
In terms of the income generated by the underlying portfolio, it was a strong year with revenue earnings per ordinary share rising 6.3% to a record 30.5p (2023: 28.7p) as dividend income received by the trust has fully recovered from the impact of the pandemic. This meant the dividend declared for the year was fully covered by earnings, as well as allowing the board to add 1.8p per ordinary share to revenue reserves.
I have written before about the importance of investment trusts being able to build revenue reserves in order to provide some protection against difficult times. This was amply demonstrated during COVID years when our revenue reserves built in good years enabled the board to maintain dividends to our shareholders even though dividend receipts from the Merchants portfolio of investments were weak. Now that dividend receipts from the portfolio have recovered the board thinks it important that we should build up reserves once again, as illustrated by the chart on page 6 of the Annual Report.
At the end of the financial year, the revenue reserve stands at 18.1p per ordinary share.
Dividend
The board is pleased to propose a final dividend of 7.1p for shareholder approval at Merchants’ upcoming AGM on 16 May 2024. Subject to that approval, that will mean a full year dividend of 28.4p (2023: 27.6p), a rise of 2.9%.
The annualised growth rate of the dividend paid by the trust over 42 years stands at 6.4%, remaining well above the rate of inflation over that period which stands at 3.8% annually as measured by the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) despite the particularly high inflation numbers evident over the past two years. The company continues to pay a high dividend, representing a yield of some 5.2% at the period end. This remains well above the sector average (4.5%), placing it in the top-ten yielders in the sector.
With 42 years of unbroken annual dividend rises, Merchants also retains its place on the Association of Investment Companies’ (AIC) Dividend Hero list – those companies having managed to consistently raise their dividend for twenty years or more.
Shareholder demand
During the year the company’s shares traded at a premium to its Net Asset Value for much of the time – averaging 0.9% for 2024 (2023: 1.0%) as demand for the shares continued to be strong. This led Merchants to have a good record of share issuance over the period (£46m) – something that was not evident amongst the majority of our sector peers or, indeed, within the wider investment trust landscape. The wider investment trust sector had an extremely difficult 2023 as average discounts hit high levels not seen since the 2008 financial crisis. Interestingly, open ended UK Equity Income funds, continued in aggregate to suffer further significant outflows.
Once again, I have written before about the attractiveness for the shareholders of the trust of Merchants issuing the shares when they are trading at a premium. Increasing the size of the trust in this way improves the liquidity of the shares and spreads the costs of managing the portfolio (many of which are fixed costs) over a bigger pool of assets.
We attribute the success of the company in issuing shares in large part to its strong support amongst ‘direct’ private investors, the majority of whom now tend to purchase their shares via the UK’s so-called investment platforms. There are numerous platforms, though there continue to be just a few very dominant ones (generally, as well as on the Merchants’ shareholder register). During our annual strategy session we were interested to review a chart showing the growth of platforms over time, as compared to shares held in aggregate by Wealth Managers and Independent Financial Advisors and shares held in aggregate by financial institutions. We felt this was an interesting illustration of the way Merchants’ shareholder register has changed over recent years and therefore we have included this as a chart on page 10 of the Annual Report.
We believe that our strong focus on providing a high and rising income stream for investors, as well as long term capital growth, is a key attraction for investors. Alongside that, Merchants retains a competitive ongoing charge of 0.55% for 2024 (2023: 0.56%).
We continue to support AllianzGI’s sales and marketing efforts to introduce Merchants to as wide an investor base as possible. Part of that programme involves ensuring there are sufficient updates for existing and potential shareholders within the year, in multiple formats such as written reports, videos, podcasts, events, meetings and webinars.
Gearing
Merchants continues to employ gearing, believing it is additive to long term performance in terms of both income and capital returns, so long as the manager has confidence in being able to generate returns in excess of the cost of the debt.
Currently our gearing level of 12.4% is in the lower half of the policy range (10%-25%, see page 56 of the Annual Report) that we are happy to operate within. The manager operates gearing generally as a structural element of the portfolio management strategy, rather than a tactical allocation based on any short-term market movements. Shareholders should remember that whilst gearing can amplify returns in a rising market, it will also serve to exacerbate any negative movements. During the course of 2024 we will be considering refinancing or paying down our revolving credit facility, which expires in January 2025.
Board
As part of the normal programme of board succession, there are two retirements and two appointments which I must notify to shareholders. One of each happened within the period, and a further of each happened after the reporting period.
Having attained nine years as a non-executive director of the Company, Mary Ann Sieghart duly retired from the board on 25 January 2024, just before the end of the financial year. Mary Ann witnessed a period of real transformation for the company in terms of engagement with private shareholders – I would like to thank Mary Ann for her contribution and wish her all the very best for her future endeavours.
Sybella Stanley, who was the Senior Independent Director (SID), also attained nine years as a non-executive director of the Company. She duly retired from the board on 21 March 2024. I would like to thank Sybella for her outstanding commitment as SID for the trust, her expertise in corporate strategy and investment practice and to also wish her well for her future endeavours. Karen McKellar became SID with effect from Sybella’s retirement from the board.
Lisa Edgar joined as a non-executive director of the Company on 1 January 2024. Lisa was until very recently Chief Customer Officer on the Executive Leadership Team at Saga PLC and is founder / CEO of the Big Window Consulting, a consumer and B2B insight agency with considerable expertise in financial services. Lisa became a member of the Audit Committee, Nomination Committee, Management Engagement Committee and Remuneration Committee on appointment. In a period where we look to the next stage in Merchants’ development as a key holding for the retail investor, Lisa’s experience in consumer marketing trends and practice will prove invaluable.
Mal Patel was appointed as a non-executive director of the Company on 1 March 2024. Mal is Head of Investor Relations at Spirax Group and has held senior roles in IR and corporate development in a number of large UK companies. Mal is a chartered accountant and he became a member of the Audit Committee, Nomination Committee, Management Engagement Committee and Remuneration Committee on appointment.
Investment manager
We first noted in 2022 that AllianzGI was pursuing an FCA authorisation for AllianzGI UK as a UK entity and reported again last year that the authorisation had been granted. The company’s Alternative Investment Fund Manager (AIFM) therefore subsequently became AllianzGI UK Limited in May 2023. As noted in previous reporting, we view this change as being in the best interests of Merchants’ shareholders.
There was no change to the investment process, strategy or the teams involved with managing Merchants as a result of the entity change, nor is it envisaged that this would prompt any future changes.
AGM
Last year we were pleased to host the second physical AGM, welcoming back shareholders in person, since the cessation of lockdown conditions. 2024 will once again see the AGM being held at Grocers’ Hall on Thursday 16 May and full details can be found in the notice of meeting on page 126 of the Annual Report.
As usual, I would like to take the opportunity to remind shareholders that you have the right to vote on important matters that affect Merchants, such as the proposed renewal of share issuance authorities and the appointment of directors. It is an important aspect of an investment trust that shareholders can vote and all shareholders are therefore encouraged to make their voices heard by voting on all business matters, as detailed in this report.
We continue to be pleased to see moves in the investment platform industry to open up shareholder access for nominee holders. Information is being made more readily available by platforms to shareholders when companies have votes and platforms are improving the ease with which shareholders can participate in those votes. Should you be a Merchants shareholder through a platform which offers the opportunity to vote then we encourage you to take advantage of those arrangements for casting your votes and thus having your say in the running of your company.
Outlook
As ever it is difficult to predict the ‘macro’ direction for economies and markets. There are many factors which may influence short term sentiment and consequential market movements and returns. However, fortunately, that is of less consequence to the Merchants’ investment strategy which is predicated on good stock picking with a long-term time horizon – finding individual companies which have good prospects, but which are trading below our manager’s estimation of their intrinsic worth.
The negative sentiment which has overshadowed the UK market in recent years has led to a market which is lowly-rated by international comparison and by extension, to a lowly-rated Merchants portfolio. With the manager’s value ’tilt’ in terms of share selection this has been a drag on recent performance as noted earlier. Our investment managers, however have a strongly held ‘glass half full’ attitude to the current UK market outlook. They remain optimistic for the long-term for the UK market and believe that there is considerable pent-up value in the market. That value, they believe, is both evident in the aggregate valuation of the market compared to global peers, but also between the more lowly-priced and the higher rated segments of the UK market.
We remain confident that the current investment approach is well suited to meeting Merchants’ stated objectives for shareholders over the long term.
Colin Clark
Chairman
3 April 2024